ABP Network has revealed the findings of its final opinion poll survey for all the four states and a union territory that go to polls in 2021— West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala, and Puducherry.

Conducted alongside research partner CVoter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), the opinion poll survey aims to provide a clearer picture of how the ballot game stands in the five states.

The ABP Network-CVoter survey, according to an official statement from the broadcaster, revealed that as per public opinion, TMC is leading in West Bengal with 42.1% vote share (152-168 seats), whereas BJP stands second with 37.4% vote share (104-120 seats), followed by Left-Congress-ISF Alliance with 13% vote share (18-26 seats).

The eight-phase election in Bengal will begin from March 27, 2021 and end on April 29, 2021. The counting of votes and results will be declared on May 2, 2021.

West Bengal	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: West Bengal	2021 Projection
TMC	42.1
BJP	37.4
INC+LEFT+ISF	13.0
Others	7.5
Total	100.0

 

West Bengal	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : West Bengal	From	To
TMC	152	168
BJP	104	120
INC+LEFT	18	26
Others	0	2
Total	294

According to the survey, NDA is leading in Assam with 45% vote share (65 to 73 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 41.1% vote share (52 to 60 Seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 13.9% vote share (0 to 4 seats).

Assam	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: Assam	2021 Projection
NDA	45.0
UPA	41.1
Others	13.9
Total	100.0

 

Assam	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Assam	From	To
NDA	65	73
UPA	52	60
Others	0	4
Total	126

As for Kerala, LDF is leading with 42.4% vote share (71 to 83 seats), whereas UDF stands second with 38.6% vote share (56 to 68 Seats). BJP grabs the third spot with 16.4% vote share (0 to 2 seats).

Kerala	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: Kerala		2021 Projection
LDF		42.4
UDF		38.6
BJP		16.4
Others		2.6
Total		100.0

 

Kerala	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats: Kerala	From	To
LDF	71	83
UDF	56	68
BJP	0	2
Others	0	0
Total	140

In Puducherry, NDA is leading with 47.2% vote share (19 to 23 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 39.5% vote share (7-11 seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 13.3% vote share (0 to 1 seat).

Puducherry	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Puducherry	2021 Projection
UPA (Congress+DMK)	39.5
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	47.2
Others	13.3
Total	100.0

Puducherry	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Puducherry	From	To
UPA (Congress+DMK)	7	11
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	19	23
Others	0	1
Total	30

 

The survey revealed that as per public opinion, UPA is leading in Tamil Nadu with 46% vote share (173 to 181 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 34.6% vote share (45 to 53 Seats). MNM grabs the third spot with mere 4.4% vote share (1 to 5 seats).

 

Tamil Nadu	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : TamilNadu	2021 Projection
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	46.0
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	34.6
MNM	4.4
AMMK	3.6
Others	11.4
Total	100.0

 

Tamil Nadu	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : TamilNadu	From	To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	173	181
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	45	53
MNM	1	5
AMMK	1	5
Others	0	4
Total	234

Detailing the methodology used of the survey, the ABP statement stated the C-Voter survey reached out to a total of approximately 2,290 people in West Bengal, 1,513 people in Tamil Nadu, 1,735 people in Kerala, 1,002 people in Puducherry and 1,117 people in Assam. It was conducted through CATI (telephonic survey). The results are subject to a margin of error: +/- 3% and confidence: 95%.