ABP News, along with research partner C-Voter, has conducted an opinion poll that predicts the ruling BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) is poised to win the elections for a record seventh time since 1995 in Gujarat.
The BJP is anticipated to win between 135-143 seats, which would represent a significant gain from its 2017 tally of 99 seats, a media statement from ABP Network said Tuesday.
The ABP News-CVoter opinion poll surveyed the caste equation in the State of Gujarat.
The upper caste Hindus have reposed their faith with BJP with a prediction of 57 percent vote share, whereas Congress will be getting 26 percent and AAP 14 percent of vote share in 2022 polls.
The Dalit vote share this time will be 39 percent for the BJP, while the Congress is predicted to get 38 percent and AAP predicted to get 20 percent Dalit vote share.
BJP is predicted to get 54 percent OBC vote share this time, according to the survey. Congress is predicted to get a 26 percent vote share and AAP 16 percent of the OBC vote share.
BJP has seen a decline in the Muslim vote factor, with the party getting 23 percent vote share, whereas the Congress and AAP gained from the loss of the BJP with 45 percent and 30 percent of Muslim vote share, repsectively.
The important Leuva Patels and Kadva Patel voters seem to be sticking with the BJP with 51 percent and 49 percent vote share, whereas the Congress is predicted to get 30 percent and 34 percent of Leuva and Kadva Patel vote shares.
AAP, which is contesting for the first time in Gujarat Assembly polls, is predicted to get 15 percent and 14 percent of Leuva and Kadva Patel votes.
The opinion poll has shown that women voters are predicted to support the BJP with a 45 percent vote share. Congress and AAP lag behind with 35 percent and 17 percent vote shares, respectively.
The survey, conducted amongst young people up to 25 years of age, shows that the youth of the State is still reposing their faith in the BJP with a predicted vote share of 43 percent, while the Congress is seen to be getting 39 percent and AAP cornering15 percent of vote shares, respectively.