ABP Network revealed the findings of its Opinion Poll for West Bengal Assembly Elections 2021, conducted alongside research partner, CNX. The opinion poll survey aims to provide a clearer picture of the high octane political season in poll-bound West Bengal.

The ABP Network-CNX survey has revealed that as per public opinion, TMC is leading in West Bengal with 41.53% vote share (154-164 seats), whereas BJP stands second with 34.22% vote share (102-112 seats), followed by Left-INC Alliance with 19.66% vote share (22-30 seats).

Vote Share

Options	CNX survey results			2016 results	Swing   of   votes since 2016	2019 results	Swing          of votes       since 2019
TMC		41.53		44.91	-03.38	43.28	-01.75
BJP		34.22		10.16	+24.06	40.25	-06.03
Left-INC Alliance		19.66		37.94	-18.28	13.11	+06.55
Others		04.59		06.99	-02.40	03.36	+01.23
Total	100%			100%		100%

(Others include GJM, which is likely to contest election with TMC alliance)

                                                                Seat Projection

Options	CNX         survey prediction	2016 results	Change               in Position         since 2016	2019 results	Change         in Position   since 2019
TMC	154-164	211	-47-57	164	-00-10
BJP	102-112	03	+99-109	121	-09-19
Left-INC	22-30	76	-46-54	09	+13-21
Others	01-03	04	-01-03	00	+01-03
Total	294	294		294

(Others include GJM, which is likely to contest election with TMC alliance)

 

As for the methodology and survey details, a Face-to-Face survey was conducted using a structured questionnaire which was administered randomly to 9360 men and women from section A and section B households, in the age group of 18 to 60. The survey team visited 117 out of the 294 Assembly seats in the states going deep into by-lanes and meeting people from all walks of life. The respondents were selected randomly keeping in view the demographic, professional and migration dimensions. The results are subject to a margin of error: 2.5 percent.

The survey was conducted from 15^th February to 23^rd February 2021.

About ABP Network

An innovative media and content creation company, ABP Network is a credible voice in the broadcast & digital sphere, with a multi-language portfolio of news channels reaching 535 million individuals in India. ABP Studios, which comes under the purview of ABP Creations – the content innovation arm of the network – creates, produces, and licenses original, path-breaking content outside of news. ABP Network is a group entity of ABP, which was incorporated almost 100 years ago and continues to reign as a leading media company.

ABOUT CNX

CNX is a leading electoral survey agency formed in 2009 by India’s renowned Psephologist Bhawesh Jha with a desire to deliver game-changing electoral research and strategic thinking.

CNX produces high quality data on voting, public opinion, and political participation to serve the research needs of news channel, newspapers, social scientists, teachers, students, policy makers and journalists who want to better understand the theoretical and empirical foundations of national election outcomes.

CNX is the among the few leading survey agency which predicted the most accurate exit polls in all crucial assembly elections in last 5 years.